NJR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NJR - New Jersey Resources Corp
$55.44
0.85 (1.56%)
▲
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
+2.21%
90d:
+20.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NJR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NJR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.49
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.43
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NJR is currently trading at $55.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.56 to $54.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$53.56 -
$54.88
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 23.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.56 -
$54.88
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.35
(2.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.17
Resistance Level
$55.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.17
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.4%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.83
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$58.25
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$59.70
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 4.6%)
$87.74
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 4.6%)
$63.46
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 4.6%)
$53.94
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case
$61.74
(+14%)
Analyst growth 6.2%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$56.12
(+4%)
Market implied 6.2%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$35.94
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NJR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roberto Bel
SELL
6105 shares
2026-03-16
Patrick J Migliaccio
SELL
4017 shares
2025-12-23
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