AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
•Price consolidating in 2.77% range for 10 days
•Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
•MACD converging near zero line - potential energy building
•Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
MACD: Converging
|
Volume: Neutral
Fair Value Estimate
-6.7% Overvalued
Fair Value: $36.11
(Current: $38.72)
Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears overvalued at current levels.
Consider waiting for a better entry point or reassess fundamentals.
PEG Ratio
0.44
Attractive
Current P/E
7.27
Fair P/E
6.78
Earnings Growth
16.6%
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Volume Trend: Neutral
Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
0.025
Money Flow Index (MFI):
44.2
Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.
Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy
Score: 70/100
Analysis comparing options pricing vs AI growth projections. This helps identify if options are cheap (buy calls) or expensive (sell premium).
STRONG BUY - Excellent value, profitable at target
Wall Street Target
$44.43
+18.1% upside
Best Strike Found
$40.00
Exp: June 18, 2026, midnight
Call Premium
$2.00
5.3% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$42.00
✓ Below target
Implied Probability
48.2%
Market's confidence
Value Score
100.0
Excellent buy
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POTENTIAL BUYING OPPORTUNITY
Options pricing suggests value relative to Wall Street analyst target
The $40 call expiring Jun 18, 2026 costs $2.00.
If NMIH reaches the Wall Street analyst target of $44.43,
this option would be profitable with a 100.0% return.
Note: Options involve significant risk. Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Open Interest: 8
| Volume: 5
Data as of: May 22, 2025
How to Use This Analysis:
Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers.
Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Support: Price floor where buying interest increases | Resistance: Price ceiling where selling pressure increases
Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)
Bull Case
30% Probability
$48.26
(+24.6%)
Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align
Base Case
50% Probability
$38.61
(+-0.3%)
Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory
Bear Case
20% Probability
$27.03
(-30.2%)
Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results
Technical Indicators
RSI (14)
45.9
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
0.02
Key Fundamentals
P/E Ratio
7.94
Forward P/E
7.27
P/S Ratio (TTM)
4.26x
Fair
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Market Cap
$2,951M
Analyst Target
$45.14
52-Week High
$38.85
52-Week Low
$38.20
Investment Disclaimer:
These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.