NOA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOA - North American Construction Group Ltd.
$14.95
-0.27 (-1.77%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 18, 2026
Get Alerted When NOA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: NOA shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 11th percentile) and market pricing in only 2.7% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: NOA shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 11th percentile) and market pricing in only 2.7% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.82
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOA is currently trading at $14.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.25 to $15.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.4) is in line with its historical norms (4.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.93 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.93 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$14.25 -
$15.55
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
11th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 11th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($18.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.25 -
$15.55
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.87
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.72
Resistance Level
$16.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.36
Wall Street Target
$18.93
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
5.4 vs 4.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.63
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.05
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$16.49
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.07
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 49.6%)
$212.09
(+1294%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: 49.6%)
$50.99
(+235%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: 49.6%)
$43.35
(+185%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$32.76
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$29.78
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$10.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NOA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SLB
Schlumberger NV |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$50 | 53 HOLD |
|
BKR
Baker Hughes Co |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$53 | 61 BUY |
|
HAL
Halliburton Company |
BUY
29 analysts |
$36 | 62 BUY |
|
FTI
TechnipFMC PLC |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$49 | 66 BUY |
|
NOV
NOV Inc. |
BUY
24 analysts |
$18 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced NOA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NOA price and gamma walls.