NPKI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$14.35
0.12 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
-3.56%
30d:
+1.99%
90d:
+18.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NPKI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NPKI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.76
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.61
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $14.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.66 to $14.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 77.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.34, while resistance sits at $15.14.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.34, while resistance sits at $15.14.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$13.66 -
$14.56
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($18.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.66 -
$14.56
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.01
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.34
Resistance Level
$15.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.50
Wall Street Target
$18.75
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
77.5%
Profit Margin
14.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 23.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.96
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.69
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$13.43
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$14.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 20.5%)
$24.88
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$24.72
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.5%)
$21.01
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$22.46
(+58%)
Analyst growth 50.6%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$20.42
(+44%)
Market implied 50.6%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$9.22
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.5 to 23.9
Stabilization Target:
$15.12
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mary Celeste Fruge
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
Gregg Piontek
SELL
108590 shares
2026-03-04
Michael A Lewis
SELL
2013 shares
2026-02-23
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