NSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NSP - Insperity, Inc

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$26.49
-0.33 (-1.23%) ▼
5d: +8.26%
30d: +15.48%
90d: -30.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

NSP is up 20.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $25 2026-05-15 with 10 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NSP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.9% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.60
45.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $26.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.77 to $24.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.32, while resistance sits at $27.95.

Market Sentiment: NSP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.50 (+52.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $20.77 - $24.96
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 13th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($40.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $20.77 - $24.96
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.54 (9.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.32
Resistance Level $27.95
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.57
Wall Street Target $40.50 (+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.5%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 13.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.84 (-10%)
2-Year Target $21.46 (-19%)
3-Year Target $19.31 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→13) $29.30 (+11%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 44.4%) $208.48 (+687%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 44.4%) $79.74 (+201%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 44.4%) $67.78 (+156%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 13.0
Stabilization Target: $40.19 (+51.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +51.7%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Christian P Callens BUY 1250 shares 2026-03-11
Ellen H Masterson BUY 1200 shares 2026-03-11
James D Allison BUY 10000 shares 2026-03-10

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Advanced NSP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSP price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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