NSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSP - Insperity, Inc
$27.51
1.02 (3.83%)
▲
5d:
+4.46%
30d:
+23.84%
90d:
-28.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
NSP is up 20.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $25 2026-05-15 with 10 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NSP is 8.9% above fair value ($25.26). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NSP is 8.9% above fair value ($25.26). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.60
43.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $27.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.81 to $25.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NSP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.50 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NSP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.50 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$20.81 -
$25.26
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NSP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.9% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($40.50)
- CAUTION: Extended 8.9% above fair value - wait for pullback
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.81 -
$25.26
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.25
(11.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.91
Resistance Level
$27.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.57
Wall Street Target
$40.50
(+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.5%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.84
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.31
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$29.30
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 44.4%)
$208.48
(+687%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 44.4%)
$79.74
(+201%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 44.4%)
$67.78
(+156%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$40.19
(+51.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+51.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Christian P Callens
BUY
1250 shares
2026-03-11
Ellen H Masterson
BUY
1200 shares
2026-03-11
James D Allison
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced NSP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSP price and gamma walls.
