NSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSP - Insperity, Inc
$42.73
1.87 (4.58%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.35
11.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $42.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.73 to $46.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.82, while resistance sits at $48.14. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (24th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.82, while resistance sits at $48.14. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (24th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$39.73 -
$46.04
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
24th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NSP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 24th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 4.0% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.73 -
$46.04
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.03
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.82
Resistance Level
$48.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.76
Wall Street Target
$42.75
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.5%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$41.43
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$41.72
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 113.0%)
$183.50
(+349%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 113.0%)
$137.90
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 113.0%)
$117.22
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 16.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.61
Bull Case
$51.60
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$42.73
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$32.69
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul J Sarvadi
SELL
10850 shares
2025-09-17
Latha Ramchand
BUY
1000 shares
2025-08-06
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Advanced NSP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSP price and gamma walls.
