NTNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$39.33
-0.13 (-0.33%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.58
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.97
34.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $39.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.39 to $53.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 103.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+67.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+67.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$43.39 -
$53.39
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.8% below Wall St target ($66.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.39 -
$53.39
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.65
Resistance Level
$49.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.14
Wall Street Target
$66.00
(+67.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.8%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 25.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$31.86
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$28.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→25)
$39.99
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.8%)
$85.32
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 20.8%)
$69.39
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 20.8%)
$58.98
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.73
Bull Case
$47.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$39.33
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$30.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$54.86
(+39.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
3500 shares
2025-10-02
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SELL
144707 shares
2025-10-02
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SELL
11391 shares
2025-09-16
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTNX price and gamma walls.
