NTNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$40.76
2.72 (7.15%)
▲
5d:
+3.32%
30d:
+1.09%
90d:
-21.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
NTNX is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-06-18 with 1,401 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.69
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.48
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $40.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.23 to $40.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 83.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.29 (+48.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.29 (+48.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$38.23 -
$40.60
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 48.0% below Wall St target ($56.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.23 -
$40.60
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.05
Resistance Level
$41.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.64
Wall Street Target
$56.29
(+48.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
83.2%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.45
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$33.04
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$30.80
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$38.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.5%)
$80.11
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 18.5%)
$63.23
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$53.74
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$86.86
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.2
Base Case
$78.96
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.9
Bear Case
$26.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$47.01
(+23.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced NTNX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTNX price and gamma walls.
