NU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NU - Nu Holdings Ltd.

Finance Services
$17.75
-1.01 (-5.38%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.41
13.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NU is currently trading at $17.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.64 to $18.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.3) compared to its historical average (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.30, while resistance sits at $18.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: NU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $16.64 - $18.04
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.4%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.99)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.64 - $18.04
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.31
Resistance Level $18.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.34
Wall Street Target $19.99 (+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 36.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.9%
Profit Margin 39.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 22.3 vs 20.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.42 (+4%)
2-Year Target $20.10 (+7%)
3-Year Target $20.80 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→20) PE COMPRESSION $18.72 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 42.5%) $54.34 (+190%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 42.5%) $54.25 (+189%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 42.5%) $46.12 (+146%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case $32.94 (+76%)
Analyst growth 61.4%, PE expands to 39.2
Base Case $29.95 (+60%)
Market implied 61.4%, PE stable at 35.7
Bear Case $12.61 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NU price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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