NWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$53.16
-0.46 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
+1.73%
30d:
+1.07%
90d:
+12.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Get Alerted When NWN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NWN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.16
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.32
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $53.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.02 to $53.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$51.02 -
$53.04
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$51.02 -
$53.04
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.47
(2.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.01
Resistance Level
$53.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.56
Wall Street Target
$56.33
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.26
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$54.91
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$55.57
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.3%)
$89.37
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 7.3%)
$66.22
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 7.3%)
$56.29
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case
$66.11
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.9%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$60.10
(+15%)
Market implied 16.9%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$34.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph S Karney
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
Kimberly Heiting Rush
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
Melinda B Rogers
SELL
2026-03-05
Featured in Portfolios
NWN is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Gas by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$49 | 58 HOLD |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$183 | 59 HOLD |
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 54 HOLD |
|
NJR
NewJersey Resources Corp… |
BUY
8 analysts |
$55 | 63 BUY |
|
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Cor… |
BUY
7 analysts |
$149 | 59 HOLD |