NXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXT - Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock
$117.09
-3.99 (-3.30%)
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LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 27, 2026
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1 traders called NXT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.68
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.97
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXT is currently trading at $117.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.19 to $107.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.6) compared to its historical average (21.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.46, while resistance sits at $131.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: NXT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.46, while resistance sits at $131.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: NXT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$88.19 -
$107.37
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($114.78)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$88.19 -
$107.37
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.46
Resistance Level
$131.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.57
Wall Street Target
$114.78
(-5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
25.6 vs 21.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.50
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$134.25
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$141.37
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$156.22
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$136.27
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.9%)
$115.83
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$141.47
(+17%)
Analyst growth 21.4%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$128.61
(+6%)
Market implied 21.4%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$72.02
(-41%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Howard Wenger
SELL
5217 shares
2025-09-29
Charles D Boynton
SELL
4500 shares
2025-09-15
Howard Wenger
SELL
5703 shares
2025-08-19
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