SHLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHLS - Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.95
-0.17 (-1.68%)
▼
5d:
+0.91%
30d:
-20.14%
90d:
+44.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.60
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHLS is currently trading at $9.95, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.55 to $11.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.70, while resistance sits at $11.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.70, while resistance sits at $11.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.55 -
$11.78
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.37)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.55 -
$11.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.70
Resistance Level
$11.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.77
Wall Street Target
$10.37
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 17.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.44
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$10.95
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$11.49
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.6%)
$19.71
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 21.6%)
$17.89
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 21.6%)
$15.20
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.42
Bull Case
$12.01
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$9.95
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$7.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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