SHLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHLS - Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.28
0.17 (1.87%)
▲
5d:
+18.37%
30d:
+28.35%
90d:
-3.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SHLS is down 4.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $8 2026-07-17 with 13,196 OI. Call ratio: 99% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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2 traders called SHLS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SHLS is 9.3% above its trading range ($8.49). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SHLS is 9.3% above its trading range ($8.49). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.12
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.39
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHLS is currently trading at $9.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.88 to $8.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.72, while resistance sits at $9.63.
Market Sentiment: SHLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.72, while resistance sits at $9.63.
Market Sentiment: SHLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.88 -
$8.49
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.84)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.88 -
$8.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.73
Resistance Level
$9.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.29
Wall Street Target
$9.84
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.69
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$10.11
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$10.56
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.30
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.6%)
$20.60
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 22.6%)
$17.10
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 22.6%)
$14.53
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$20.06
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.2
Base Case
$18.24
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.6
Bear Case
$6.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dominic Bardos
SELL
4170 shares
2025-12-05
Jeffery Tolnar
SELL
2450 shares
2025-12-05
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Advanced SHLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SHLS price and gamma walls.
