NYT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NYT - New York Times Co.

NEWSPAPERS: PUBLISHING OR PUBLISHING & PRINTING
$73.31
0.02 (0.03%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NYT is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.69
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.18
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NYT is currently trading at $73.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.99 to $72.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.9) is in line with its historical norms (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NYT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NYT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $69.99 - $72.28
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($68.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $69.99 - $72.28
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $69.91
Resistance Level $73.77
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.85
Wall Street Target $68.75 (-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.2%
Profit Margin 12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium
PE vs Historical 27.9 vs 26.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $74.76 (+2%)
2-Year Target $76.25 (+4%)
3-Year Target $77.78 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→26) PE COMPRESSION $73.46 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.8, Growth: 10.7%) $99.41 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.7%) $79.61 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.7%) $67.67 (-8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case $102.99 (+41%)
Analyst growth 29.0%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case $93.63 (+28%)
Market implied 29.0%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case $49.35 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jacqueline M Welch SELL 5500 shares 2025-08-28
William Bardeen SELL 5000 shares 2025-08-12

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