OBE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OBE - Obsidian Energy Ltd.
$7.02
-0.19 (-2.64%)
▼
5d:
+3.85%
30d:
+14.52%
90d:
+24.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OBE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OBE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OBE is currently trading at $7.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.93 to $6.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 100.3) compared to its historical average (116.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OBE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.39, while resistance sits at $7.75.
Market Sentiment: OBE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OBE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.39, while resistance sits at $7.75.
Market Sentiment: OBE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$5.93 -
$6.80
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.79)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.93 -
$6.80
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.39
Resistance Level
$7.75
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
100.29
Wall Street Target
$6.79
(-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.9%
Profit Margin
-38.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
100.3 vs 116.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.68
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$6.35
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$6.04
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 100→117)
$7.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 100.3, Growth: -91.7%)
$5.12
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -91.7%)
$1.14
(-84%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -91.7%)
$0.97
(-86%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 100.3 to 116.7
Stabilization Target:
$8.17
(+16.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.4%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OBE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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