OGE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OGE - OGE Energy Corp.
$43.68
0.20 (0.46%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OGE is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: OGE is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.57
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OGE is currently trading at $43.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.60 to $43.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$42.60 -
$43.54
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OGE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.32)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.60 -
$43.54
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.29
Resistance Level
$44.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.97
Wall Street Target
$46.32
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.57
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$43.65
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$43.74
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$63.71
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 5.7%)
$51.34
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$43.64
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$46.88
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.8%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$42.62
(-2%)
Market implied -2.8%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$29.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OGE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-11
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-08-13
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