OPBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OPBK - OP Bancorp Common Stock

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$13.98
0.12 (0.83%) β–²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: OPBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.16
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.76
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OPBK is currently trading at $13.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.89 to $14.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OPBK is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $13.37, while resistance sits at $15.13.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+19.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $13.89 - $14.59
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.89 - $14.59
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.62 (4.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.37
Resistance Level $15.13
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.68
Wall Street Target $16.50 (+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 42.5%
Profit Margin 28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.7 vs 7.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.55 (-2%)
2-Year Target $13.23 (-5%)
3-Year Target $12.93 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7β†’7) $13.93 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%) $65.82 (+375%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 12.5%) $19.72 (+42%)
Bear: (PE: 5.7, Growth: 12.5%) $16.77 (+21%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case $18.09 (+29%)
Analyst growth 20.6%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case $16.44 (+18%)
Market implied 20.6%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case $9.27 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 7.2
Stabilization Target: $14.94 (+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced OPBK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OPBK price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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