ORGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ORGN - Origin Materials, Inc. Common Stock

INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
$2.16
-0.03 (-1.37%) β–Ό
5d: -40.17%
30d: +1284.62%
90d: +920.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORGN is down 40.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ORGN is currently trading at $2.16, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $-0.26 to $2.44.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ORGN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.90, while resistance sits at $4.11.

Market Sentiment: ORGN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $0.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $-0.26 - $2.44
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 45th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 77.2% above Wall St target ($0.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -40.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $-0.26 - $2.44
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.82 (38.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.90
Resistance Level $4.11
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -7.06
Wall Street Target $0.50 (-77.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -67.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 266.7%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:13 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthew T Plavan SELL 12000 shares 2026-01-16
John Bissell SELL 50000 shares 2025-12-29
Joshua C Lee SELL 35000 shares 2025-12-29

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Advanced ORGN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORGN price and gamma walls.

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