ORGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORGN - Origin Materials, Inc. Common Stock
$2.10
-0.09 (-4.11%)
▼
5d:
-41.83%
30d:
+1246.15%
90d:
+891.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORGN is down 41.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORGN is down 41.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORGN is currently trading at $2.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $-0.26 to $2.44.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORGN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.90, while resistance sits at $4.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORGN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $0.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORGN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.90, while resistance sits at $4.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORGN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $0.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$-0.26 -
$2.44
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
45th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.6%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 77.2% above Wall St target ($0.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -41.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$-0.26 -
$2.44
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.80
(38.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.90
Resistance Level
$4.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-7.06
Wall Street Target
$0.50
(-77.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-67.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
266.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORGN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthew T Plavan
SELL
12000 shares
2026-01-16
John Bissell
SELL
50000 shares
2025-12-29
Joshua C Lee
SELL
35000 shares
2025-12-29
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Advanced ORGN Option Strategies
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