OVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OVV - Ovintiv Inc.
$43.47
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.43
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.62
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OVV is currently trading at $43.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.07 to $41.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OVV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OVV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.16 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OVV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OVV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.16 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$38.07 -
$41.57
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($53.16)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.7% growth with -7.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.07 -
$41.57
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.32
Resistance Level
$44.42
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.87
Wall Street Target
$53.16
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.3%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 7.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.82
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$50.42
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$54.30
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -2.1%)
$92.01
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -2.1%)
$40.73
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -2.1%)
$32.60
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$94.07
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.6
Base Case
$85.52
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.0
Bear Case
$29.08
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced OVV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OVV price and gamma walls.
