OXY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation
$45.39
-0.03 (-0.07%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
Get Alerted When OXY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
3 traders called OXY this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.11
Based on -20.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXY is currently trading at $45.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.91 to $44.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.1) compared to its historical average (27.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.05, while resistance sits at $46.95.
Market Sentiment: OXY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.05, while resistance sits at $46.95.
Market Sentiment: OXY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$40.91 -
$44.20
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.90)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.4% growth with -7.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$40.91 -
$44.20
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.05
Resistance Level
$46.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.08
Wall Street Target
$48.90
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.4%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.4% premium
PE vs Historical
38.1 vs 27.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.60
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$56.37
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$62.79
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.1, Growth: -45.8%)
$33.11
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -45.8%)
$19.39
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -45.8%)
$16.48
(-64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$43.25
(-5%)
Analyst growth -12.3%, PE expands to 36.3
Base Case
$39.32
(-13%)
Market implied -12.3%, PE stable at 33.0
Bear Case
$30.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is OXY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-08-05
Featured in Portfolios
OXY is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$113 | 63 BUY |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$180 | 62 BUY |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$131 | 54 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$32 | 61 BUY |
|
EOG
EOG Resources Inc |
BUY
33 analysts |
$133 | 62 BUY |
Advanced OXY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OXY price and gamma walls.
