OXY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation
$62.97
0.74 (1.19%)
▲
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
+17.46%
90d:
+53.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OXY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OXY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.38
Based on -5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.25
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXY is currently trading at $62.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.09 to $62.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.10, while resistance sits at $67.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.10, while resistance sits at $67.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$53.09 -
$62.20
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OXY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.88)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.09 -
$62.20
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.10
Resistance Level
$67.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.46
Wall Street Target
$60.88
(-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
148.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.4%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 29.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$51.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$45.91
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→29)
$65.29
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -14.3%)
$46.15
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: -14.3%)
$45.91
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: -14.3%)
$39.02
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$119.62
(+98%)
Analyst growth 79.1%, PE expands to 49.5
Base Case
$108.74
(+80%)
Market implied 79.1%, PE stable at 45.0
Bear Case
$41.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 29.1
Stabilization Target:
$89.56
(+42.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
William R Klesse
BUY
5000 shares
2025-12-16
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