PCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PCB - PCB Bancorp Common Stock

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$22.44
0.42 (1.91%) ▲
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.70
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.54
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PCB is currently trading at $22.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.63 to $22.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PCB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.41, while resistance sits at $23.21.

Market Sentiment: PCB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+12.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $21.63 - $22.41
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 29th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 40.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.25)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $21.63 - $22.41
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.58 (7.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.42
Resistance Level $23.21
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.35
Wall Street Target $25.25 (+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 50.0%
Profit Margin 32.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.4 vs 8.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.56 (-4%)
2-Year Target $20.72 (-8%)
3-Year Target $19.92 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→8) $22.49 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.0%) $88.29 (+293%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 9.0%) $29.10 (+30%)
Bear: (PE: 6.2, Growth: 9.0%) $24.73 (+10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case $26.28 (+17%)
Analyst growth 10.9%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case $23.89 (+7%)
Market implied 10.9%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case $14.65 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.3
Stabilization Target: $25.34 (+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced PCB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PCB price and gamma walls.

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