Is PENN stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PENN is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: PENN is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of PENN stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PENN to be between $13.69 and $14.86. The current price is $12.84.

What is the analyst price target for PENN?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PENN is $19.06. This implies a potential upside of 44.9% from current levels.

PENN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS

$12.84

-0.31 (-2.36%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PENN is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$16.26

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$10.10

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $12.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.69 to $14.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PENN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.06 (+44.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $13.69 - $14.86

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 44.9% below Wall St target ($19.06)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.0%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.69 - $14.86

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.68

Resistance Level $14.87

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.01

Wall Street Target $19.06 (+44.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 208.9%

Profit Margin -13.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium

PE vs Historical 18.0 vs 15.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.72 (+4%)

2-Year Target $14.31 (+9%)

3-Year Target $14.92 (+14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→16) PE COMPRESSION $13.17 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is PENN showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS BUYING

Recent Transactions

David A Handler BUY 20000 shares 2025-08-08

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