PENN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock
$13.99
0.22 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
-3.12%
30d:
-10.55%
90d:
-7.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
PENN is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-04-17 with 2,020 OI. Call ratio: 88% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PENN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PENN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.67
51.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $13.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.36 to $15.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 208.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.11 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.11 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$13.36 -
$15.03
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($19.11)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.36 -
$15.03
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.59
Resistance Level
$14.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.08
Wall Street Target
$19.11
(+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
208.9%
Profit Margin
-12.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.20
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→14)
$17.28
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 77.2%)
$130.53
(+833%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 77.2%)
$47.22
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 77.2%)
$40.13
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$23.71
(+69.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+69.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PENN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Felicia Hendrix
BUY
7315 shares
2025-11-21
David A Handler
BUY
20000 shares
2025-11-17
Gupta Vimla Black
SELL
7987 shares
2025-11-14
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Advanced PENN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PENN price and gamma walls.
