PH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PH - Parker-Hannifin Corporation
$935.84
-12.56 (-1.32%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1165.20
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$723.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PH is currently trading at $935.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $894.43 to $938.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.4) is in line with its historical norms (28.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $911.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $911.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$894.43 -
$938.88
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($965.74)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$894.43 -
$938.88
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$911.40
Resistance Level
$965.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.45
Wall Street Target
$965.74
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Profit Margin
18.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.5 vs 28.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$944.61
(0%)
2-Year Target
$940.83
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$937.06
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→29)
$948.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$1259.56
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.9%)
$987.42
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$839.30
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.04
Bull Case
$1198.41
(+28%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$1089.46
(+16%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$623.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.4 to 28.8
Stabilization Target:
$960.20
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
Joseph R Leonti
SELL
4625 shares
2025-08-25
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
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