EMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$137.88
0.12 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
-2.28%
30d:
-1.79%
90d:
-4.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
EMR is down 6.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $155 2026-06-18 with 3,473 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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1 traders called EMR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EMR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EMR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.51
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $137.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.09 to $144.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.87 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.87 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$137.09 -
$144.54
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($164.87)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$137.09 -
$144.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$134.50
Resistance Level
$149.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.27
Wall Street Target
$164.87
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$136.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$134.59
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$132.98
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$138.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.0%)
$209.73
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$183.38
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 10.0%)
$155.87
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.33
Bull Case
$250.40
(+82%)
Analyst growth 65.2%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$227.63
(+65%)
Market implied 65.2%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$93.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$143.10
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Surendralal Lanca Karsan…
SELL
5700 shares
2026-03-10
Matthew S Levatich
SELL
1476 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced EMR Option Strategies
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