PLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLD - PROLOGIS, INC.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$128.78
-0.12 (-0.09%) ▼
5d: -1.17%
30d: -9.67%
90d: +0.05%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your PLD Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026 16d
Smart Money Accumulation

PLD is down 7.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $140 2026-05-15 with 1,288 OI. Call ratio: 80% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PLD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.48
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.05
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLD is currently trading at $128.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.44 to $140.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.5) is in line with its historical norms (42.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $127.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PLD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.90 (+10.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $130.44 - $140.12
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($141.90)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $130.44 - $140.12
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $127.29
Resistance Level $135.66
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 38.47
Wall Street Target $141.90 (+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.3%
Profit Margin 36.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 38.5 vs 42.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $125.05 (-3%)
2-Year Target $121.42 (-6%)
3-Year Target $117.90 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→42) $128.72 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 38.5, Growth: 11.9%) $180.59 (+40%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.9%) $104.92 (-19%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.9%) $89.18 (-31%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 35.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.56
Bull Case $132.41 (+2%)
Analyst growth -6.0%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case $120.37 (-8%)
Market implied -6.0%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case $87.05 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.5 to 42.0
Stabilization Target: $140.60 (+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.2%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor SELL 2026-02-26
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-05
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29

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