PLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLD - PROLOGIS, INC.
$130.56
0.15 (0.12%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.24
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLD is currently trading at $130.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.26 to $130.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.5) is in line with its historical norms (43.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $125.47, while resistance sits at $134.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $125.47, while resistance sits at $134.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$127.26 -
$130.89
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($138.70)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$127.26 -
$130.89
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$125.47
Resistance Level
$134.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.55
Wall Street Target
$138.70
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.6 vs 43.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.37
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$122.45
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$118.65
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→44)
$130.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.6, Growth: 13.2%)
$188.98
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$106.55
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.2%)
$90.57
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 37.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$135.69
(+4%)
Analyst growth -4.2%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$123.36
(-5%)
Market implied -4.2%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$87.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.6 to 43.5
Stabilization Target:
$143.43
(+10.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Cristina Gabriela Bita
SELL
500 shares
2025-10-01
Cristina Gabriela Bita
SELL
1000 shares
2025-09-03
Lori A Palazzolo
SELL
25000 shares
2025-08-26
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