SMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMA - SmartStop Self Storage REIT, Inc.
$29.64
-1.12 (-3.64%)
▼
5d:
-8.97%
30d:
-8.01%
90d:
-9.77%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
SMA is down 9.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 29 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.6/10
Get Alerted When SMA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.71
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMA is currently trading at $29.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.04 to $32.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.0) compared to its historical average (66.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $29.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.90 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $29.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.90 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.04 -
$32.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($35.90)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.04 -
$32.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.92
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.42
Resistance Level
$33.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.96
Wall Street Target
$35.90
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
53.0 vs 66.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.54
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$25.58
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$23.76
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→66)
$29.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 53.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$42.05
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.4%)
$17.53
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$14.90
(-50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (96x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (53x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 96.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$59.18
(+100%)
Analyst growth 74.9%, PE expands to 105.7
Base Case
$53.80
(+82%)
Market implied 74.9%, PE stable at 96.1
Bear Case
$20.92
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 81.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.0 to 66.0
Stabilization Target:
$36.94
(+24.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David J Mueller
SELL
425 shares
2026-04-16
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-18
David J Mueller
SELL
425 shares
2026-03-16
Top Rated REIT - Industrial Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Industrial by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PLD
Prologis Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$151 | 58 HOLD |
|
PSA
Public Storage |
BUY
21 analysts |
$315 | 58 HOLD |
|
EGP
EastGroup Properties Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$214 | 58 HOLD |
|
COLD
Americold Realty Trust |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$16 | 57 HOLD |
|
EXR
Extra Space Storage Inc |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$152 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced SMA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMA price and gamma walls.
