PLTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLTR - Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock
$146.59
-5.27 (-3.47%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
1d
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31 traders called PLTR this week
82% bullish • 6 bearish
82% bullish • 6 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PLTR is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PLTR is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.60
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLTR is currently trading at $146.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.01 to $186.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 150.0) compared to its historical average (173.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $147.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.25 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $147.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.25 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$163.01 -
$186.19
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PLTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($190.25)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$163.01 -
$186.19
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$147.12
Resistance Level
$182.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
150.03
Wall Street Target
$190.25
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
62.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
150.0 vs 173.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.72
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$137.92
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$131.44
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 150→173)
$151.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 150.0, Growth: 39.7%)
$413.95
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 39.7%)
$61.53
(-60%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 39.7%)
$52.30
(-66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (169x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (150x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 169.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.86
Bull Case
$177.01
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 178.0
Base Case
$146.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 169.5
Bear Case
$112.14
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 152.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 150.0 to 173.1
Stabilization Target:
$175.21
(+15.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PLTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lauren Elaina Friedman S…
SELL
800 shares
2025-10-03
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-19
Lauren Elaina Friedman S…
SELL
9000 shares
2025-09-18
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