PNW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PNW - Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
$101.53
0.78 (0.77%)
▲
5d:
+3.92%
30d:
-0.46%
90d:
+13.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Get Alerted When PNW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PNW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PNW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$191.48
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.89
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNW is currently trading at $101.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.40 to $101.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$98.40 -
$101.93
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$98.40 -
$101.93
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.75
Resistance Level
$101.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.97
Wall Street Target
$102.50
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.40
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$97.31
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$95.27
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$101.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.6%)
$221.65
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 20.6%)
$178.16
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 20.6%)
$151.44
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.05
Bull Case
$119.69
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.9%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$108.81
(+12%)
Market implied 11.9%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$66.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$107.94
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PNW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Electric by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEE
Nextera Energy Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$94 | 61 BUY |
|
EIX
Edison International |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$74 | 60 BUY |
|
ETR
Entergy Corporation |
BUY
20 analysts |
$109 | 62 BUY |
|
PPL
PPL Corporation |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$41 | 63 BUY |
|
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$90 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced PNW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PNW price and gamma walls.
