PPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PPL - PPL Corporation
$36.25
-0.06 (-0.17%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.99
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PPL is currently trading at $36.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.73 to $36.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PPL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PPL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PPL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PPL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$34.73 -
$36.44
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.73 -
$36.44
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.88
Resistance Level
$37.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.60
Wall Street Target
$39.67
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.9%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 18.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.54
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$36.83
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$37.13
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.6%)
$54.06
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 7.6%)
$45.10
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$38.33
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$53.56
(+48%)
Analyst growth 32.7%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$48.69
(+34%)
Market implied 32.7%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$24.96
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 7:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PPL price and gamma walls.