PR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$21.59
0.10 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
+4.4%
30d:
+14.9%
90d:
+55.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.21
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $21.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.09 to $20.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$18.09 -
$20.40
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.45)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.09 -
$20.40
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.22
Resistance Level
$21.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.60
Wall Street Target
$23.45
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.6%
Profit Margin
18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 13.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.81
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$20.47
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$21.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.0%)
$74.38
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 25.0%)
$41.94
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 25.0%)
$35.65
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$26.69
(+34%)
Analyst growth 20.9%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$24.26
(+22%)
Market implied 20.9%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$13.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.51
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Tepper
SELL
50000 shares
2026-03-12
William J Quinn
SELL
800000 shares
2026-03-11
Guy M Oliphint
SELL
4999 shares
2026-03-04
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