PR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PR - Permian Resources Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$16.13
0.08 (0.50%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your PR Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: PR is 7.0% above fair value ($15.07). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.17
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.70
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $16.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.75 to $15.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.38 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $13.75 - $15.07
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

PR is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.38)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.0% growth with 8.7% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.75 - $15.07
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.19
Resistance Level $16.26
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.80
Wall Street Target $18.38 (+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -84.8%
Profit Margin 15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.0% premium
PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 11.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.42 (+8%)
2-Year Target $18.81 (+17%)
3-Year Target $20.32 (+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→12) PE COMPRESSION $16.06 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -16.2%) $17.72 (+10%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: -16.2%) $11.76 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 11.7, Growth: -16.2%) $9.30 (-42%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case $16.89 (+5%)
Analyst growth -1.2%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case $15.36 (-5%)
Market implied -1.2%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case $10.57 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Charles Bell SELL 4743 shares 2025-09-02
Robert Regan Shannon SELL 4742 shares 2025-09-02

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