PSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSN - Parsons Corporation
$52.08
-0.43 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
+1.26%
30d:
-21.09%
90d:
-16.75%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
PSN is down 6.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $75 2026-05-15 with 68 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PSN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PSN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.97
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.04
22.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSN is currently trading at $52.08, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.82 to $66.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.38, while resistance sits at $54.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.91 (+52.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.38, while resistance sits at $54.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.91 (+52.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$53.82 -
$66.21
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.2% below Wall St target ($79.91)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.82 -
$66.21
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.38
Resistance Level
$54.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.16
Wall Street Target
$79.91
(+52.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.78
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$43.48
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$39.57
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$52.55
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$124.52
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$78.70
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$66.89
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$92.85
(+81%)
Analyst growth 68.7%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$84.41
(+64%)
Market implied 68.7%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$34.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$69.73
(+32.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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