Is QDEL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, QDEL is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: QDEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of QDEL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QDEL to be between $16.75 and $22.54. The current price is $15.17.

What is the analyst price target for QDEL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QDEL is $34.67. This implies a potential upside of 134.6% from current levels.

QDEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock

IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES

$15.17

0.39 (2.64%) ▲

5d: -8.34%

30d: -33.29%

90d: -48.23%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your QDEL Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

QDEL is down 12.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-06-18 with 184 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QDEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$56.92

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$35.35

57.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QDEL is currently trading at $15.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.75 to $22.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.0) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.45, while resistance sits at $19.72.

Market Sentiment: QDEL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.67 (+134.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $16.75 - $22.54

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 134.6% below Wall St target ($34.67)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.75 - $22.54

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.45

Resistance Level $19.72

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.96

Wall Street Target $34.67 (+134.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -77.1%

Profit Margin -41.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -20.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 5.0 vs 9.8 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -20.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.30 (-10%)

2-Year Target $11.97 (-19%)

3-Year Target $10.77 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→10) $21.31 (+44%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 37.5%) $173.69 (+1075%)

Base: (SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: 37.5%) $38.42 (+160%)

Bear: (PE: 4.2, Growth: 37.5%) $32.66 (+121%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.0 to 9.8

Stabilization Target: $29.23 (+97.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +97.8%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS BUYING

Recent Transactions

Brian J Blaser BUY 10540 shares 2026-02-13

Joseph M Busky BUY 3370 shares 2026-02-13

Matthew Strobeck BUY 10000 shares 2026-02-13

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Advanced QDEL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QDEL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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