Is RACE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, RACE is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: RACE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of RACE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for RACE to be between $341.80 and $375.88. The current price is $333.17.

What is the analyst price target for RACE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for RACE is $461.38. This implies a potential upside of 36.3% from current levels.

RACE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RACE - Ferrari N.V.

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

$333.17

-5.28 (-1.56%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your RACE Gains

Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RACE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$310.78

Based on 5.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$192.97

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RACE is currently trading at $333.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $341.80 to $375.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.4) is in line with its historical norms (38.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $331.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RACE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $461.38 (+36.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $341.80 - $375.88

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 59th percentile (NORMAL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.6%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 59th percentile)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($461.38)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $341.80 - $375.88

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$19.01 (5.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $331.01

Resistance Level $351.90

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.41

Wall Street Target $461.38 (+36.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 2.9%

Profit Margin 22.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 35.4 vs 38.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $330.33 (-2%)

2-Year Target $322.40 (-5%)

3-Year Target $314.66 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35→38) $338.59 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 35.4, Growth: 6.8%) $411.73 (+22%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.8%) $259.31 (-23%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.8%) $220.42 (-35%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 30.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.77

Bull Case $325.55 (-2%)

Analyst growth -11.2%, PE expands to 34.1

Base Case $295.96 (-11%)

Market implied -11.2%, PE stable at 31.0

Bear Case $226.75 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.4 to 38.1

Stabilization Target: $364.19 (+7.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +7.6%

Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced RACE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RACE price and gamma walls.

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More Analysis for RACE

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Ferrari N.V.

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

About

Ferrari designs, engineers, and manufactures some of the world's most expensive luxury cars. With supply carefully controlled to be below demand and a brand steeped in decades of motor racing history, a Ferrari is viewed as a status symbol. In 2024, the company sold 13,752 vehicles at an average price over EUR 480,000 with more than 70% of its vehicles being sold to existing Ferrari clients. Eighty-six percent of revenue is generated from the sale of cars and spare parts and 10% from sponsorship, commercial, and brand activities including racing and lifestyle activities. In 2024, the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region accounted for 47% of revenue, the Americas was 33%, mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan was 8%, and the rest of Asia was 12%.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $87,216,436,932

Employees: 5,465

Listed Since: 2015-10-21

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001648416

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