RBCAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RBCAA - Republic Bancorp Inc/KY
$70.55
0.65 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
+2.25%
30d:
+1.07%
90d:
+0.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RBCAA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RBCAA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.15
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.25
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RBCAA is currently trading at $70.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.18 to $70.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RBCAA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RBCAA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$68.18 -
$70.31
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$68.18 -
$70.31
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.50
Resistance Level
$71.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.9%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.27
(0%)
2-Year Target
$69.99
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$69.71
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$70.17
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.9%)
$151.67
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 2.9%)
$76.85
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 2.9%)
$65.32
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.72
Bull Case
$68.13
(-2%)
Analyst growth -7.3%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$61.94
(-11%)
Market implied -7.3%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$45.43
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$71.02
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RBCAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Scott Trager
BUY
148 shares
2026-02-26
Jeff Starke
SELL
137 shares
2025-12-11
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