RDWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RDWR - Radware Ltd.
$25.54
-0.20 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
-0.74%
30d:
+10.32%
90d:
+4.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RDWR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RDWR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.22
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.84
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RDWR is currently trading at $25.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.60 to $26.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 123.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDWR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RDWR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.33 (+26.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDWR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RDWR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.33 (+26.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$23.60 -
$26.00
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($32.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.60 -
$26.00
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.28
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.85
Resistance Level
$27.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.59
Wall Street Target
$32.33
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
123.9%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.41
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$25.29
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$25.16
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
$25.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$47.51
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$41.63
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$35.39
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.96
Bull Case
$31.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$25.73
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$19.68
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.95
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RDWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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