REPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REPX - Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
$28.05
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REPX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REPX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.55
Based on -36.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.96
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REPX is currently trading at $28.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.79 to $27.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.65, while resistance sits at $29.09.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+64.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.65, while resistance sits at $29.09.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+64.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$25.79 -
$27.82
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.0% below Wall St target ($46.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 4.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.79 -
$27.82
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.08
(7.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.65
Resistance Level
$29.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.18
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+64.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.4%
Profit Margin
21.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.39
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.73
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$29.07
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.23
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -76.5%)
$98.94
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: -76.5%)
$27.41
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: -76.5%)
$23.30
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.06
Bull Case
$33.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case
$30.83
(+10%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$18.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced REPX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's REPX price and gamma walls.
