RGCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RGCO - RGC Resources Inc
$21.71
0.33 (1.54%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RGCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RGCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.06
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RGCO is currently trading at $21.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.88 to $21.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RGCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.30 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RGCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.30 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$20.88 -
$21.77
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.30)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.88 -
$21.77
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.04
(4.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.55
Resistance Level
$21.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.73
Wall Street Target
$25.30
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.1%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.47
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$21.24
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$21.00
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$21.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.3%)
$35.98
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 5.3%)
$25.38
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$21.57
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$24.26
(+12%)
Analyst growth 7.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$22.06
(+2%)
Market implied 7.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$14.02
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.36
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Lawrence T Oliver
BUY
9 shares
2025-10-01
Thomas Patrick Furcron
BUY
19 shares
2025-10-01
Christen Brooke Miles
BUY
4 shares
2025-10-01
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Advanced RGCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RGCO price and gamma walls.
