RHP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RHP - Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc
$92.43
0.16 (0.17%)
β²
5d:
+0.65%
30d:
-6.12%
90d:
-4.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
β BUY SIGNAL: RHP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
β BUY SIGNAL: RHP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.14
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RHP is currently trading at $92.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.70 to $99.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RHP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $94.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.43 (+21.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RHP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $94.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.43 (+21.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$90.70 -
$99.19
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($112.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$90.70 -
$99.19
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.60
Resistance Level
$94.26
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.63
Wall Street Target
$112.43
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.3%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 21.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.32
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$90.22
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$89.14
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21β21)
$92.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$136.54
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.9%)
$126.04
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 10.9%)
$107.13
(+16%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$122.35
(+33%)
Analyst growth 18.5%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$111.23
(+21%)
Market implied 18.5%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$63.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$95.87
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
π₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is RHP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Colin V Reed
BUY
8993 shares
2025-11-07
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