HST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HST - Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
$21.91
0.53 (2.46%)
▲
5d:
+0.57%
30d:
+3.72%
90d:
+9.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
HST is up 4.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 21,202 OI. Put ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HST is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HST is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.14
Based on -11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HST is currently trading at $21.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.60 to $21.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.60 -
$21.67
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HST? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.60 -
$21.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.98
Resistance Level
$22.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.38
Wall Street Target
$22.88
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
105.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.77
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$21.96
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -26.2%)
$16.09
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: -26.2%)
$15.59
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: -26.2%)
$13.25
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$16.12
(-25%)
Analyst growth -32.0%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$14.65
(-32%)
Market implied -32.0%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$14.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-09
Nathan S Tyrrell
SELL
9086 shares
2025-12-12
Nathan S Tyrrell
SELL
11954 shares
2025-12-11
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Advanced HST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HST price and gamma walls.
