HST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HST - Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
$22.27
0.60 (2.77%)
▲
5d:
+5.4%
30d:
+11.85%
90d:
+15.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
HST is up 3.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $18 2026-05-15 with 5,315 OI. Put ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.03
Based on -3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HST is currently trading at $22.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.67 to $21.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (20.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.67 -
$21.45
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
HST is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.67 -
$21.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.71
Resistance Level
$22.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.96
Wall Street Target
$22.30
(+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.03
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$23.81
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$24.62
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.30
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: -10.4%)
$16.23
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -10.4%)
$15.51
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -10.4%)
$13.19
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$21.02
(-6%)
Analyst growth -11.8%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$19.11
(-14%)
Market implied -11.8%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$14.74
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-09
Nathan S Tyrrell
SELL
9086 shares
2025-12-12
Nathan S Tyrrell
SELL
11954 shares
2025-12-11
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Advanced HST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HST price and gamma walls.
