RNGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RNGR - Ranger Energy Services, Inc.

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
$17.43
-0.07 (-0.40%) ▼
5d: +0.64%
30d: +0.06%
90d: +25.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RNGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.71
26.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RNGR is currently trading at $17.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.80 to $17.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RNGR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.73, while resistance sits at $17.98.

Market Sentiment: RNGR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $16.80 - $17.39
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.80 - $17.39
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.89 (10.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.73
Resistance Level $17.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.51
Wall Street Target $17.50
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -46.5%
Profit Margin 2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.5 vs 12.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.84 (-4%)
2-Year Target $16.20 (-8%)
3-Year Target $15.58 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→13) $17.46 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 32.8%) $79.65 (+355%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 32.8%) $40.94 (+134%)
Bear: (PE: 9.8, Growth: 32.8%) $34.80 (+99%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.54
Bull Case $37.07 (+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case $33.70 (+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case $11.46 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 12.9
Stabilization Target: $19.61 (+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.0%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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