ROST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROST - Ross Stores Inc
$219.98
0.03 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
+2.65%
30d:
+3.03%
90d:
+22.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ROST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ROST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.62
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.34
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROST is currently trading at $219.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.32 to $215.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.5) compared to its historical average (27.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ROST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ROST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$204.32 -
$215.66
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ROST? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($229.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$204.32 -
$215.66
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$207.48
Resistance Level
$222.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.52
Wall Street Target
$229.81
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
30.5 vs 27.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$227.90
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$236.10
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$244.60
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$219.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$298.60
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$201.28
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$171.09
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.61
Bull Case
$253.36
(+19%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$230.33
(+8%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$143.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patricia H Mueller
SELL
1881 shares
2026-03-10
Karen Sykes
SELL
2556 shares
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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Advanced ROST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ROST price and gamma walls.
