RRBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRBI - Red River Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
$90.44
0.54 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
-0.39%
30d:
+0.99%
90d:
+24.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RRBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RRBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.62
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRBI is currently trading at $90.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.50 to $90.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$87.50 -
$90.23
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($97.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$87.50 -
$90.23
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.76
Resistance Level
$91.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.12
Wall Street Target
$97.33
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Profit Margin
34.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.07
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$92.25
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$93.45
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 4.0%)
$186.65
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 4.0%)
$101.18
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 4.0%)
$86.00
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.38
Bull Case
$111.54
(+25%)
Analyst growth 16.3%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$101.40
(+13%)
Market implied 16.3%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$59.29
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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