SB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SB - Safe Bulkers, Inc.
$5.86
0.15 (2.54%)
▲
5d:
+10.26%
30d:
+21.47%
90d:
+26.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SB is 7.0% above fair value ($5.47). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SB is 7.0% above fair value ($5.47). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SB is currently trading at $5.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.91 to $5.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$4.91 -
$5.47
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($5.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.9% growth with -3.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Extended 7.0% above fair value - wait for pullback
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.91 -
$5.47
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.29
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.96
Resistance Level
$5.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.98
Wall Street Target
$5.40
(-5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 7.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.62
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$7.67
(+34%)
3-Year Target
$8.89
(+56%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.75
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 62.5%)
$39.14
(+585%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 62.5%)
$19.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 62.5%)
$12.46
(+118%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$8.66
(+52%)
Analyst growth 44.4%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$7.87
(+38%)
Market implied 44.4%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$3.71
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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