SBSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBSW - Sibanye-Stillwater American Depositary Shares, each representing four ordinary shares
$16.88
-3.11 (-15.56%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 20, 2026
20d
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2 traders called SBSW this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SBSW is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SBSW is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.28
24.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBSW is currently trading at $16.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.86 to $18.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 0.4) is in line with its historical norms (0.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBSW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.22, while resistance sits at $21.29. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SBSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBSW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.22, while resistance sits at $21.29. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SBSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$14.86 -
$18.64
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SBSW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-15.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($18.74)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.86 -
$18.64
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.22
Resistance Level
$21.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.43
Wall Street Target
$18.74
(-6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.2%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
0.4 vs 0.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.83
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$21.70
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$22.62
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.84
(+4%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 192.7%)
$3466.44
(+17241%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.4, Growth: 192.7%)
$67.47
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.4, Growth: 192.7%)
$57.35
(+187%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SBSW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SBSW price and gamma walls.
