SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$35.88
-0.17 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
-2.45%
90d:
-9.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.44
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.91
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $35.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.41 to $37.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.79, while resistance sits at $37.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.67 (+44.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.79, while resistance sits at $37.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.67 (+44.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$35.41 -
$37.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.0% below Wall St target ($51.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.41 -
$37.12
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.79
Resistance Level
$37.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.04
Wall Street Target
$51.67
(+44.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.70
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$33.55
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$32.44
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$35.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$143.42
(+300%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 12.9%)
$51.61
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$43.87
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.24
Bull Case
$52.45
(+46%)
Analyst growth 37.7%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$47.68
(+33%)
Market implied 37.7%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$23.55
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$39.70
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Charles Alexander Mathis
BUY
6000 shares
2026-02-11
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