SD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SD - SandRidge Energy, Inc.
$16.49
-0.54 (-3.14%)
▼
5d:
-1.82%
30d:
-6.28%
90d:
+12.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
SD is down 3.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-04-17 with 1,429 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.37
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.30
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SD is currently trading at $16.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.60 to $17.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.93, while resistance sits at $17.34. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $15.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.93, while resistance sits at $17.34. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $15.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$16.60 -
$17.45
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.9% above Wall St target ($15.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.1% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.60 -
$17.45
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.05
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.93
Resistance Level
$17.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.58
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(-11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Profit Margin
44.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.23
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$19.52
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$20.91
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -5.2%)
$28.03
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -5.2%)
$14.52
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -5.2%)
$11.79
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case
$14.31
(-12%)
Analyst growth -22.6%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$13.01
(-20%)
Market implied -22.6%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$11.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SD price and gamma walls.
