SDRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$45.77
0.82 (1.82%)
▲
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
+4.81%
90d:
+35.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SDRL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SDRL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.25
48.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $45.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.91 to $45.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.71 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.71 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$42.91 -
$45.06
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.91 -
$45.06
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.36
(7.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.34
Resistance Level
$46.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.01
Wall Street Target
$50.71
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
-5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 23.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$36.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$32.77
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→23)
$53.81
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 700.9%)
$242.07
(+439%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 700.9%)
$151.71
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 700.9%)
$128.95
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 23.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.81
(+64.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+64.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
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