NE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NE - Noble Corporation plc
$52.90
0.39 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
+5.5%
30d:
+9.07%
90d:
+15.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
NE is down 5.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 2,475 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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1 traders called NE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.37
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $52.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.94 to $51.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$47.94 -
$51.05
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($50.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.94 -
$51.05
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.25
Resistance Level
$52.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.56
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 23.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.31
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$47.84
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$45.50
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$52.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 151.0%)
$191.68
(+262%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 151.0%)
$178.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 151.0%)
$151.76
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$103.43
(+96%)
Analyst growth 80.0%, PE expands to 40.2
Base Case
$94.02
(+78%)
Market implied 80.0%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case
$35.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 23.9
Stabilization Target:
$61.50
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard B Barker
SELL
150000 shares
2026-03-18
Robert W Eifler
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-18
Charles M Sledge
SELL
2083 shares
2026-02-19
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Advanced NE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NE price and gamma walls.
