NE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NE - Noble Corporation plc
$37.99
0.91 (2.45%)
▲
5d:
-3.01%
30d:
-19.39%
90d:
-21.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.89
43.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $37.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.95 to $47.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.60 (+30.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.60 (+30.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.95 -
$47.49
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($49.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.95 -
$47.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.62
Resistance Level
$49.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.52
Wall Street Target
$49.60
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 22.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.19
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$30.77
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$27.69
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$40.33
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 148.6%)
$179.94
(+374%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 148.6%)
$128.22
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 148.6%)
$108.98
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$69.82
(+84%)
Analyst growth 71.2%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$63.47
(+67%)
Market implied 71.2%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$25.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 22.6
Stabilization Target:
$55.32
(+45.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard B Barker
SELL
150000 shares
2026-03-18
Robert W Eifler
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-18
Charles M Sledge
SELL
2083 shares
2026-02-19
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