SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$116.49
-5.41 (-4.44%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.11
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $116.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.83 to $133.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 145.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.04 (+55.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.04 (+55.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$121.83 -
$133.92
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.9% below Wall St target ($190.04)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$121.83 -
$133.92
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.62
Resistance Level
$130.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.39
Wall Street Target
$190.04
(+55.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
145.8%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 25.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$119.23
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$117.92
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→25)
$121.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 42.8%)
$354.83
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 42.8%)
$324.48
(+166%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 42.8%)
$275.81
(+126%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.59
Bull Case
$140.66
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.1
Base Case
$116.49
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$89.11
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$125.97
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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