SELF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SELF - Global Self Storage, Inc. Common Stock

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$5.03
0.02 (0.40%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SELF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.87
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.26
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SELF is currently trading at $5.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.03 to $5.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SELF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SELF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.25 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $5.03 - $5.10
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 2th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($6.25)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.03 - $5.10
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.23 (4.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.90
Resistance Level $5.12
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.04
Wall Street Target $6.25 (+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -60.0%
Profit Margin 14.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 20.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.99 (0%)
2-Year Target $4.98 (-1%)
3-Year Target $4.97 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→20) $5.00 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.7%) $7.16 (+43%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 8.7%) $6.43 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 8.7%) $5.47 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.16
Bull Case $8.66 (+72%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case $7.88 (+57%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case $3.43 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 20.2
Stabilization Target: $5.05 (+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SELF Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SELF price and gamma walls.

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