What is the fair value of SGML stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SGML to be between $12.53 and $15.14. The current price is $10.78.

What is the analyst price target for SGML?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SGML is $17.17. This implies a potential upside of 35.1% from current levels.

SGML Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SGML - Sigma Lithium Corporation Common Shares

Metal Mining

$10.78

-1.93 (-15.18%) ▼

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your SGML Gains

Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Apr 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

SGML is down 26.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $18 2026-04-17 with 19,768 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

Get Alerted When SGML Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SGML is down 26.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$17.86

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$11.09

2.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SGML is currently trading at $10.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.53 to $15.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.9) compared to its historical average (49.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SGML is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.17 (+35.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $12.53 - $15.14

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 74.8%

Protect Your Profits

Holding SGML? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-15.2%)
BULLISH: Trading 35.1% below Wall St target ($17.17)
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -26.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $12.53 - $15.14

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.16

Resistance Level $15.14

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.92

Wall Street Target $17.17 (+35.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 36.6%

Profit Margin -23.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -20.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 24.9 vs 49.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -20.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.44 (-10%)

2-Year Target $10.30 (-19%)

3-Year Target $9.27 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→50) $18.48 (+45%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 49.7

Stabilization Target: $25.35 (+99.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +99.4%

Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is SGML showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Top Rated Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
TECK Teck Resources Ltd Class…	STRONG BUY 23 analysts	$48	67 BUY
VALE Vale SA ADR	BUY 25 analysts	$15	63 BUY
RIO Rio Tinto ADR	STRONG BUY 7 analysts	$87	65 BUY
WRN Western Copper and Gold …	STRONG BUY 6 analysts	$5	54 HOLD
LAC Lithium Americas Corp	HOLD 15 analysts	$6	54 HOLD

TECK Teck Resources Lt…

WRN Western Copper an…

54 HOLD

LAC Lithium Americas …

54 HOLD

Advanced SGML Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SGML price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for SGML

SGML Technical Chart SGML Price Prediction SGML Earnings Date SGML Investment Advisor SGML Fair Price Analyzer SGML Options Advisor SGML Options Chain SGML Options Analysis SGML Competitors

Compare SGML with Other Stocks

SGML vs FCX
Winner: Tie

SGML vs CLF

SGML vs BHP
Winner: Tie

SGML vs HBM
Winner: Tie

SGML vs NGD
Winner: Tie

SGML vs VALE

SGML vs SCCO

SGML vs BVN
Winner: Tie

SGML vs RIO
Winner: Tie

SGML vs MP

Create New Comparison

Tradestie