SMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMA - SmartStop Self Storage REIT, Inc.
$31.44
-0.01 (-0.03%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMA is currently trading at $31.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.08 to $32.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 65.9) is in line with its historical norms (67.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SMA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.11 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SMA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.11 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$31.08 -
$32.61
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
34th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($38.11)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.08 -
$32.61
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.80
(5.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.91
Resistance Level
$33.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
65.92
Wall Street Target
$38.11
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
65.9 vs 67.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$31.07
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$30.89
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 66→67)
$31.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 65.9, Growth: 4237.3%)
$106.14
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 4237.3%)
$35.91
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 4237.3%)
$30.52
(-3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 65.9 to 67.2
Stabilization Target:
$32.06
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMA price and gamma walls.
