PLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLD - PROLOGIS, INC.
$142.66
0.66 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
+0.26%
30d:
+2.07%
90d:
+4.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
PLD is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $145 2026-06-18 with 3,002 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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1 traders called PLD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.05
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLD is currently trading at $142.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.53 to $143.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.0) is in line with its historical norms (41.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $145.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $145.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$137.53 -
$143.72
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($150.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$137.53 -
$143.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$138.00
Resistance Level
$145.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.98
Wall Street Target
$150.65
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.2%
Profit Margin
39.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
42.0 vs 41.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.80
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$142.95
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$143.09
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$142.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$235.66
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$123.71
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$105.16
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 35.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98
Bull Case
$133.35
(-7%)
Analyst growth -14.6%, PE expands to 39.3
Base Case
$121.23
(-15%)
Market implied -14.6%, PE stable at 35.7
Bear Case
$96.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-20
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
David Taylor
SELL
2026-02-26
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